Social media users debated the necessity of diesel fuel supplies from Azerbaijan to Armenia.

Some readers of the "Caucasian Knot" in social media reminded of the need for peace against the backdrop of information about diesel fuel supplies to Armenia, while others pointed out that the conflict is still unresolved. Azerbaijani imports are already creating price competition in Armenia, as the cost of fuel by rail is significantly lower than that supplied through the Black Sea ports of Georgia, noted Baku analysts.

As reported by "Caucasian Knot", by August 21, products were exported from Azerbaijan to Armenia: about 15 thousand tons of diesel fuel and about 5 thousand tons of AI-92 and AI-95 gasoline. On September 2, Azerbaijan reported the dispatch of 17 wagons of diesel fuel.

Social media users evaluated the diesel fuel supplies to Armenia

On the "Caucasian Knot" Facebook page*, the publication about the dispatch of a new batch of diesel fuel from Azerbaijan received 583 comments by 00:00 on September 6.

Users with Armenian surnames reacted sharply to the news about diesel fuel from Azerbaijan.
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"We don't need Azerbaijan," wrote Maya Sarkisyan.
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"And you don't decide for everyone. If you don't need gasoline - get lost," retorted Armen Khanbabyan.

"I hope the Azerbaijanis don't expect gratitude?" - asked Գործակալ Սմիթ.

Many users with Azerbaijani surnames reacted to Sarkisyan's remark with profanity.

Some users pointed out the economic aspects

"The price of gasoline is still higher," noted Gurgen Baghdasaryan.

"And at what price? Does anyone know?" - asked Kam Borisovich.

And how can Aliyev and Pashinyan bring people like this, who are at least inclined towards peace?

Other commentators called for peace.

"We need peace between neighbors," urged Artak Vardanyan.

"I absolutely agree. P.S. I am an Azerbaijani myself," commented Sada Mazzi

"I came to see the reaction to what seems to be a positive news. And how can Aliyev and Pashinyan bring people like this, who are at least inclined towards peace?" - wondered Shaig-Gyulya Aleskerovi, commenting on the sharp remarks.

"Not everyone is positively inclined, they don't understand that they can't count on anyone else. The Caucasus should be united," commented Esmi Damir.

"A balm for the heart. Neighbors should, can, and will live peacefully, no matter who tries to quarrel them," believes Igor Davydov.

"Let's live in harmony," urged Bagban Behbudov.

Residents of the border town of Goris supported trade with Azerbaijan

"Caucasian Knot" surveyed residents of the country before the parliamentary elections in Armenia, which took place in June, including on the issues of supplies from Azerbaijan.

A refugee from Nagorno-Karabakh Arsen Vardanyan, now living in the city of Goris, believes that there should be trade relations between neighboring countries.

"Trading with neighbors is good, as long as they don't go to war. Just let it be cheap, and not raise prices," shared the man's opinion.

A resident of Goris Artyush Ambarzumyan believes that it is beneficial for the people of Armenia to bring oil from the neighboring country.

"That's right. If you want peace, then yes, over time there will be oil and much more. I used to see how goods from Turkey reached here, we sold something. After all, a person creates a good, it needs to be sold somewhere. Now we are neighbors, we are not going to move away, we somehow have to coexist," the man expressed.

A pensioner Bella Avetisyan also has a positive attitude towards Armenia acquiring oil and gasoline from Azerbaijan. "After all, this oil and gasoline come to Armenia through other means, through third parties," she noted.

Baku analysts pointed out the benefits for Armenia from supplies from Azerbaijan

As reported to the correspondent of the "Caucasian Knot" by the head of the Caspian Barrel Oil Research Center Ilham Shaban, the last batch of oil products from Azerbaijan to Armenia was sent on September 3.

"17 tankers with a total volume of 989 tons of diesel fuel were shipped by rail to the neighboring republic," said the expert.

According to him, since the end of 2025, Azerbaijan has supplied about 20 thousand tons of oil products to Armenia, including 15 thousand tons of diesel fuel and 5 thousand tons of automotive gasoline, mainly AI-92 and small volumes of AI-95.

Any economic cooperation starts with small trade volumes

"Considering the dynamics of supplies, the export of oil products from Azerbaijan to Armenia will increase to 30 thousand tons by the end of 2026. Currently, the Western press points to insignificant volumes of supplies from Azerbaijan, given Armenia's annual fuel needs of 600 thousand tons, and in this regard, they see a political meaning in Azerbaijani exports to the neighboring country. But it should not be forgotten that any economic cooperation starts with small trade volumes. When the decision was made to build the Southern Gas Corridor, its capacity was set at 10 billion cubic meters per year, and many then said that this was only 2 percent of Europe's needs of 500 billion cubic meters. But today, when Europe has minimized purchases of pipeline gas from Russia, every billion cubic meters of Azerbaijani gas has gained special value for Europeans. Azerbaijan has already increased its annual gas supplies to Europe to 13 billion cubic meters per year, and in the coming years, exports are expected to reach 20 billion cubic meters annually," he emphasized.

At the same time, attention should be paid to the extensive geography of supplies: Azerbaijan pumps gas to 10 EU countries, as well as to two other European countries - Serbia and North Macedonia, Shaban believes. "Although the share of Azerbaijani gas in the European market is not very large, for 12 gas recipient countries, fuel from Azerbaijan covers a significant share of needs, in some countries up to a third and even half. Therefore, no one knows how the situation will develop tomorrow, and at some point Azerbaijan may become one of the main fuel suppliers to Armenia," Shaban continued.

According to him, for Azerbaijan, the Armenian market can be promising considering the geographical proximity and thus reducing transportation costs of supplies. As an example, the expert pointed to Azerbaijan's active participation in the oil products market of another neighboring country - Georgia, where today the share of Azerbaijani fuel reaches 30 percent.

Azerbaijan already has the potential to increase the annual export volume of diesel fuel by at least 200 thousand tons and gasoline by 50 thousand tons within a few months. Currently, Azerbaijan supplies these types of fuel to Turkey, Georgia, and several other countries. And in the context of shortages caused by the shipping crisis in the Persian Gulf, there is increased demand in the global market for diesel fuel, automotive gasoline, and aviation kerosene from Azerbaijan.

At the same time, Shaban drew attention to the recent statement by Azerbaijan's Minister of Economy Mikayil Jabbarov that a new oil refinery will be built in the country in the coming years, and by 2030-2031, Azerbaijan may increase the volumes of diesel fuel and gasoline exports from the current 1 million tons to 2.5 million tons. Part of these volumes may be supplied to Armenia in the future, the expert believes.

Moreover, according to Shaban, Azerbaijan can already start supplying liquefied gas to Armenia.

"In Armenia, about 30 percent of cars run on liquefied hydrocarbon gas. Azerbaijan today supplies liquefied gas as far as Afghanistan and Pakistan. If Armenia shows interest, then Azerbaijan has the capacity to meet Armenia's needs for this type of fuel (according to his data, about 280 thousand tons are needed annually) by 10-20 percent already now," said Shaban.

The cost of imports from Azerbaijan is significantly lower than the fuel supplied through the Black Sea ports of Georgia. Accordingly, this is reflected in the prices at gas stations

According to him, despite the insignificant volumes of fuel supplies from Azerbaijan to Armenia, Azerbaijani imports are already creating price competition.

"The cost of imports from Azerbaijan is significantly lower than the fuel supplied through the Black Sea ports of Georgia. Accordingly, this is reflected in the prices at gas stations. After the signing of the final peace agreement, cooperation will intensify, and Armenia will be interested in increasing purchases of diesel fuel, automotive gasoline, and possibly aviation kerosene from Azerbaijan. Since these goods will come from Azerbaijan with minimal transportation costs, and therefore at favorable prices," noted Shaban.

Member of the Azerbaijani National Public Committee for Eurointegration, analyst Togrul Juvarly also noted that direct economic ties between Azerbaijan and Armenia today consist of supplies of Azerbaijani diesel fuel and gasoline, and these volumes are still limited.

Economic contacts are developing progressively, and this is the key to strengthening peace between the parties

"But it should be taken into account that trade relations are just beginning to be established after decades of armed conflict. There is not even a full peace treaty between the countries yet. But it is important to consider the fact that Azerbaijan not only supplies oil products to Armenia itself and there was also an export batch - products of the chemical industry - extruded polystyrene boards for thermal insulation of buildings and structures, but also provides its territory for the transit of goods from the Russian Federation and Kazakhstan to Armenia - wheat, mineral fertilizers, construction materials. The Armenian side announced the upcoming export from this country to Armenia. In other words, economic contacts are developing progressively, and this is the key to strengthening peace between the parties and transforming the current first steps into large-scale regional cooperation in the near future," he told the correspondent of the "Caucasian Knot."